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Orlando Real Estate Held Hostage by Banks

March 29th, 2008 No comments

ready-to-buy.jpgHey, Hey…. The seasonal shift in the market is here. Yes, The buyers are here ready, willing and able to buy. However, They can’t because the banks are holding the houses hostage. Yes, They will not answer and return phone calls and sometimes take up to 6 months to respond to an offer. What? 6 months? Yes, 6 months. Why don’t they want to get these homes off their books? They appear to be just waiting for up to 6 months to get a better offer. Someone needs to tell them that that better offer is not coming.

In fact, they are shooting themselves in the foot and they don’t realize it. I now am seeing buyers and other agents asking to show my listings and the first question is: Is this a short sale? When I say NO, they are so relieved. Great, we’re so tired of waiting for the banks. We don’t want to put an offers on bank properties any more.

Therefore, homes are not being sold because of the banks. They are holding the Housing industry Hostage. If there was a quicker response from the banks there would be an uptick in the market and housing would certainly pick-up again. Why can’t we get CNN news or any of the major networks, Fox news, CBS, NBC, ABC or whomever to report of what’s happening and shake up the banks. Maybe we’d get an answer to submitted offers in a reasonable time. 3-6 months is not reasonable.

About the author:  Jerry LaRose is an Orlando Area Residential Real Estate Expert, who can assist you with the purchase and/or sale of real estate in Orlando, Windermere, Winter Garden Florida or any place in the country. Jerry has created a team of professionals throughout Orlando and the country to ensure that you enjoy a smooth transition to your new area. Please visit www.JerrySellsOrlando.com for your real estate needs.  Please give me a call if you have questions about the Orlando and Central Florida real estate market.Jerry LaRose, P.A., ABR, GRI, e-PRO, CLHMS, REALTOR® 407-580-7011(Copyright © 2008 By Jerry LaRose, P.A. All Rights Reserved.)

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Orlando Real Estate – Florida Homes “ON-SALE”

February 29th, 2008 No comments

cma-box_011.jpgYes, Florida is on-sale.

Orlando is one of the best cities for bargain hunters.

According to Forbes magazine Orlando is one of the top ten markets for home bargain hunters. Here they are:

1. Salt Lake City, Utah

Of the major metros in the U.S., Salt Lake City is adding jobs faster than anywhere. The economic boom in SLC has drawn residents from all over the country, and more than a few home builders trying to make a profit in these otherwise woeful times. Housing supply has gone up quickly, and there hasn’t been a high rate of foreclosure.

2. Raleigh, N.C.

Raleigh is another market that has been driven by job growth. Like much of the Southeast, the expanding economy here has kept people moneyed enough to make home payments. According to RealtyTrac, there is only one foreclosure per 319 households, one of the lower rates in the country. The inventory of homes available is slightly lower than Salt Lake City (No. 1 on our list), at 14,764, despite Raleigh’s larger population of 408,985 people.

3. Orlando, Fla. Orlando

South Florida markets aren’t often referred to as bargains, but Orlando stands out for two reasons. First, it’s adding jobs at a much quicker clip than other cities in the state, especially those in the South. Second, the market didn’t go through as much of a speculative boom as did the bigger cities of Miami and Tampa, so it doesn’t have as far to fall.

4. Charlotte, N.C.

Just like in-state neighbor Raleigh, Charlotte has expanded quickly as the result of an economic boom that has drawn many residents from the North and Northeast. The financial sector is largely responsible and this is something to keep an eye on as banks’ woes continue. While the city continues to grow, building activity has supplied plenty of inventory on the market, keeping things in the buyers’ favor.

5. Phoenix, Ariz.

Phoenix has a very high foreclosure rate; there’s no way around that. Based on RealtyTrac’s estimates, there is one foreclosure for every 87 households in Phoenix. Still, our data suggest that strong job and economic growth in many non-housing sectors of the local economy is enough to offset it, and people are still moving to the Valley of the Sun at a quick rate.

6. Seattle, Wash.

It looked like the good times were never going to end here, but housing price growth has slowed. The local economy continues to add jobs, and the city’s port, in particular, has profited from the weak dollar. The market slowdown isn’t an indicator of a crash and offers good bargains.

7. Las Vegas, Nev.

Las Vegas is a market hammered by foreclosures, due largely to extremely high speculation in both residential communities and the condo market. Though the housing slowdown has hurt jobs in the construction sector, Vegas continues to attract businesses and job seekers to its growing economy, making its excess inventory (and there’s a ton) less toxic than in other places. According to ZipRealty, inventory is down from its September peak by about 2,500 houses.

8. Jacksonville, Fla.

Jacksonville didn’t go through an obscene speculation boom, making its recovery cycle far less daunting than other Florida spots. Job growth isn’t outstanding, about average for the cities we measured, but the foreclosure rate is lower than any of the Florida cities we looked at, making the high inventory rate more likely to improve than get worse.

9. Richmond, Va.

According to RealtyTrac, Richmond is one of the nation’s metros least affected by foreclosures, with a rate of only one foreclosure per 1,103 households. (Compare that to Detroit; it’s got one foreclosure for every 33 households). Job growth isn’t as strong as in other Sunbelt cities, but it’s around the nationwide average. The only thing holding Richmond back from being higher on our list? Builders weren’t over-exuberant enough during the boom; there are plenty of homes on the market, but not nearly enough to classify as a glut.

10. Houston, Texas

Compared to housing prices in other cities, Houston real estate has always been a bargain, which is partly why the population has expanded so much since 2000. Jobs are being added to the books at the sixth fastest rate of cities measured, and while the city has had more than a few foreclosures, especially in Harris County, it hasn’t taken a huge hit. Based on inventory levels and construction projects in the works, buyers still have good standing to negotiate price.

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Orlando Real Estate – No Housing Upturn until 2010

February 27th, 2008 No comments

2a15f48b151df69244299e8fedc68.jpg Home prices are forecast to fall more than 30% in some communities in ‘the most severe housing recession’ since 1945.Housing markets from Orlando, Fla., to Stockton, Calif., will crash, and some will suffer price drops of more than 30% before the housing crisis is over, a report from Moody’s Economy.com said today. I find this funny because once again the media is slow to find out. I’ve been telling people now for a year that we won’t see the bottom until fall of 2009.We are now in the spring here in Orlando and I’ve sold 4 homes this week and listed another. Does that mean we’re turning the market?    My opinion is NO.  It’s simply the seasonal shift that we always have. Buyers always come out around the end of February and buying subsides in August.On a national level, the housing market recession will continue through early 2009, said the report, co-authored by Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Economy.com, and Celia Chen, director of housing economics. The report paints a worsening picture of the hard-hit housing sector, which is in the midst of its worst downturn since World War II. Again, I say we won’t see an up-tick until 1st quarter of 2010.While activity will stabilize in 2009, it will be 2010 before a measurable improvement in sales, construction and pricing will emerge, the report said.  Overall, house prices are forecast to fall 13% from their peak through early 2009. After accounting for incentives home sellers are offering buyers, effective declines from peak to trough will total well over 15%, according to the report, which said the housing recession will ultimately be severe enough to be characterized as a housing crash.Punta Gorda Fla. and Stockton are the hardest hit markets in the United States, with price declines from peak to trough forecast at 35.3% and 31.6%, respectively. “This is the most severe housing recession since the post-World War II period,” Zandi told Reuters. These markets have been hard hit due to several reasons, namely the exiting of investors from the areas, a fair amount of subprime mortgage loans causing an increase in foreclosures and overbuilding by home builders, Zandi said. As I personally look at the MLS and each subdivision – community I see that nearly 10% of the homes are in short sales or foreclosure.  We’re looking at another 12-18 months before all of those get washed out. However, that  means there are some fantastic deals for buyers. The funny thing about is that when the media catches on and  says that the market is turning, the great deals will be gone.In summary, I say if you want a great deal on a house call me now and lets find you that great deal now, before they all disappear.

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Orlando Real Estate – Home Prices, How Low Can You Go?

February 10th, 2008 No comments

cma-box_01.jpg 

The question beckons – How Low Can You Go?

How much lower can this crazy Orlando Real Estate market go. Well, Here’s my thoughts and one way to look at it.

When a renter can pay only approx. 20-30% more in their rent payment and own a home, They’ll Buy!

OK, what does that mean?

Right now a 3/2 home at $200,000 would cost approx. $1600 Principle Interest Taxes & Insurance (PITI).

A 3/2 Home to rent in general is renting for $1200-$1300, meaning that when that average 3/2 home comes down to $200,000 that renter would rather buy instead of rent.

Right now that 3/2 Home is costing approx. $240,000. That means that that average home still has to come down $40,000 or 16% for that average renter to BUY.

OK, that’s my opinion and we know what they’re like!

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Orlando Real Estate, Windermere Fl. – Housing Bust is here, Honker Down!

February 8th, 2008 No comments

j0407568.gifThough the national index figures reflect the illusion we most favor — a steady and virtually guaranteed rise in home prices — a very different picture emerges when you examine price indexes by state or metropolitan area. Here are some examples.

  • In Houston, the first Texas city to fall in the oil bust, the home-price index peaked at 108.5 in 1983. It also bottomed early, hitting 81.5 in 1987. But it was a long bottom: The index didn’t recover to its 1983 level until 1997. So recovery from the market top took a full 14 years.
  • San Antonio peaked in 1984 at 109.7, didn’t bottom out until it hit 82.5 in 1990 and didn’t recover to its old high until 1995, a period of 11 years.
  • Austin peaked in 1986 at 100.1, falling to 72.7 in 1991 and reaching recovery in 1994, about eight years.
  • Dallas also peaked in 1986, at 110.1, bottomed at 94.3 in 1989 and regained its old peak in 1997, a period of 11 years.

The Texas template tells us we could be in for a 14% to 25% decline and an eight-year to 14-year wait for recovery. That’s real history. It’s not hyperventilation from the Chicken Little chorus.

You should also know that big-time housing comedowns aren’t unique to Texas. Comedowns also hit other markets. Los Angeles peaked in 1990, bottomed in 1995 and wasn’t fully recovered until 2000. Boston peaked in 1988, bottomed in 1992 and hit its recovery number in 1997.

Bottom line: Love your house for the shelter and peace it provides.

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